The future of UX research: AI's role in analysis and synthesis

Introduction

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The skills market has a familiar whiff to it. A decade ago, digital execs scratched their heads as great swathes of the delivery workforce decided to retrain as User Experience experts. Project Managers and Business Analysts decided to muscle-in on the creative process that designers insisted was their purview alone. Win for systemised thinking. Loss for magic dust and mystery.

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With UX, research and design roles being the first to hit the cutting room floor over the past 24 months, a lot of the responsibility to solve for those missing competencies in the product delivery cycle now resides with the T-shaped Product Managers, because their career origin story tends to embrace a broader foundation across delivery and design disciplines. And so, as UX course providers jostle for position in a distracted market, senior professionals are repackaging themselves as Product Managers.

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Another Talent Migration? We’ve Seen This Before.

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The skills market has a familiar whiff to it. A decade ago, Project Managers (PMs) and Business Analysts (BAs) pivoted into UX roles in their droves, chasing the north star of digital transformation and user-centric design. Now? The same opportunities to pivot are emerging again—this time into Product Management.

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And if history is anything to go by, we already know how this plays out.

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Between 2015 and 2019, UX job postings skyrocketed by 320%, fueled by digital-first strategies and a newfound corporate obsession with usability. PMs and BAs, sensing the shift, leaned into their adjacent skills—stakeholder management, process mapping, and research—and suddenly, UX wasn’t just for designers anymore. It was a business function.

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Fast-forward to 2025, and Product Management is in the same phase of maturation and despite some Covid-led contraction, bouncing back to 5.1% growth. The role has evolved from feature shipping to strategic value creation while traditional project management roles are trending towards full-stack product managers who handle multiple aspects of product development with fractional PMs for part-time or project-based roles.

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Why Is This Happening? The Data Tells the Story.

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📈 Job postings for product management roles grew by 41% between 2020 and 2025, compared to a 23% decline in traditional project management roles during the same period (Indeed Labor Market Analytics).

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📉 The demand for product managers has been growing, with roles increasing by 32% yearly in general terms, as mentioned in some reports.

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💰 Salary Shenanigans: Product Managers generally earn higher salaries than Business Analysts. In the U.S., PMs earn about 45% more than BAs on average ($124,000 vs. $85,400). In Australia, PMs earn about 4% to 30% more than BAs ($130,000 vs. $105,000 to $125,000) wave.

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Three Structural Forces Driving the Shift

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1. Agile and Product-Led Growth Have Blurred the Lines
   Project success is no longer measured in timelines and budgets—it’s about customer lifetime value (CLTV) and feature adoption rates. For instance, 86% of teams have adopted the Agile approach, and 63% of IT teams are also using Agile methodologies forcing PMs to move beyond execution into continuous iteration and outcome-based thinking.
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2. Data Is the New Currency, and BAs Are Cashing In
   89% of product decisions in 2025 rely on analytics (Gartner, 2024). That’s prime territory for BAs, whose SQL skills, A/B testing expertise, and KPI alignment instincts make them critical players in data-driven product strategy.
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3. Role Consolidation Is Inevitable
   The post-pandemic belt-tightening has left one role doing the job of three. Today’s product managers don’t just prioritise backlogs - they manage stakeholders, interpret data, and (sometimes poorly) sketch out UX wireframes. Product manager job descriptions now list "requirements gathering" and "stakeholder management"—once core PM/BA responsibilities.

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How This Mirrors the UX Migration of 2019

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Same pattern. Different discipline.

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The Challenges of Becoming a Product Manager (and Why Some Will Struggle)

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👀 Outputs vs. Outcomes – PMs think in deliverables. Transitioning PMs struggle to adjust to measuring success through customer impact instead of project completion.

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🛠️ Legacy Tech Debt – Outdated tech stacks can lead to decreased productivity, integration issues, and security concerns. This complexity can slow down operations and hinder the efficiency of teams, including product management.

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😰 Imposter Syndrome is Real – New product managers feel unqualified, mirroring the self-doubt UX migrants felt in 2019. Because let’s be honest—jumping into product strategy is a different beast from managing deliverables.

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What Comes Next? The Smartest Companies Are Already Preparing.

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🏆 Structured Reskilling – Programs like Google’s "PM Launchpad" reduce time-to-proficiency for new PMs. Enterprises that invest in structured career shifts will win the talent war.

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📊 Hybrid Role Recognition – Expect to see “Analytics-Driven PM” and “Technical Product Owner” job titles formalising this shift, much like “UX Strategist” emerged post-2019.

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🚀 AI Will Accelerate the Next Migration – As AI automates routine PM/BA tasks, expect even more professionals to pivot into strategic product roles. The difference? This time, the transition will be even faster.

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Conclusion: The Cycle Continues

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Tech talent moves in cycles. Product Management is simply the next career gold rush for systems thinkers with a skill for structure, process, and problem-solving. A structural response to the evolution of tech ecosystems.

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Companies that recognise and support this transition will outpace those still clinging to rigid org charts. Because one thing is clear—the talent migration isn’t coming. It’s already here.

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This article was researched with the help of Perplexity.ai

As AI takes on a bigger role in product decision-making and user experience design, ethical concerns are becoming more pressing for product teams. From privacy risks to unintended biases and manipulation, AI raises important questions: How do we balance automation with human responsibility? When should AI make decisions, and when should humans stay in control?

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These aren't just theoretical questions they have real consequences for users, businesses, and society. A chatbot that misunderstands cultural nuances, a recommendation engine that reinforces harmful stereotypes, or an AI assistant that collects too much personal data can all cause genuine harm while appearing to improve user experience.

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The Ethical Challenges of AI

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Privacy & Data Ethics

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AI needs personal data to work effectively, which raises serious concerns about transparency, consent, and data stewardship:

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• Data Collection Boundaries – What information is reasonable to collect? Just because we can gather certain data doesn't mean we should.
• Informed Consent – Do users really understand how their data powers AI experiences? Traditional privacy policies often don't do the job.
• Data Longevity – How long should AI systems keep user data, and what rights should users have to control or delete this information?
• Unexpected Insights – AI can draw sensitive conclusions about users that they never explicitly shared, creating privacy concerns beyond traditional data collection.

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A 2023 study by the Baymard Institute found that 78% of users were uncomfortable with how much personal data was used for personalized experiences once they understood the full extent of the data collection. Yet only 12% felt adequately informed about these practices through standard disclosures.

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Bias & Fairness

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AI can amplify existing inequalities if it's not carefully designed and tested with diverse users:

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• Representation Gaps – AI trained on limited datasets often performs poorly for underrepresented groups.
• Algorithmic Discrimination – Systems might unintentionally discriminate based on protected characteristics like race, gender, or disability status.
• Performance Disparities – AI-powered interfaces may work well for some users while creating significant barriers for others.
• Reinforcement of Stereotypes – Recommendation systems can reinforce harmful stereotypes or create echo chambers.

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Recent research from Stanford's Human-Centered AI Institute revealed that AI-driven interfaces created 2.6 times more usability issues for older adults and 3.2 times more issues for users with disabilities compared to general populations, a gap that often goes undetected without specific testing for these groups.

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User Autonomy & Agency

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Over-reliance on AI-driven suggestions may limit user freedom and sense of control:

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• Choice Architecture – AI systems can nudge users toward certain decisions, raising questions about manipulation versus assistance.
• Dependency Concerns – As users rely more on AI recommendations, they may lose skills or confidence in making independent judgments.
• Transparency of Influence – Users often don't recognize when their choices are being shaped by algorithms.
• Right to Human Interaction – In critical situations, users may prefer or need human support rather than AI assistance.

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A longitudinal study by the University of Amsterdam found that users of AI-powered decision-making tools showed decreased confidence in their own judgment over time, especially in areas where they had limited expertise.

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Accessibility & Digital Divide

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AI-powered interfaces may create new barriers:

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• Technology Requirements – Advanced AI features often require newer devices or faster internet connections.
• Learning Curves – Novel AI interfaces may be particularly challenging for certain user groups to learn.
• Voice and Language Barriers – Voice-based AI often struggles with accents, dialects, and non-native speakers.
• Cognitive Load – AI that behaves unpredictably can increase cognitive burden for users.

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Accountability & Transparency

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Who's responsible when AI makes mistakes or causes harm?

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• Explainability – Can users understand why an AI system made a particular recommendation or decision?
• Appeal Mechanisms – Do users have recourse when AI systems make errors?
• Responsibility Attribution – Is it the designer, developer, or organization that bears responsibility for AI outcomes?
• Audit Trails – How can we verify that AI systems are functioning as intended?

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How Product Owners Can Champion Ethical AI Through UX

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At Optimal, we advocate for research-driven AI development that puts human needs and ethical considerations at the center of the design process. Here's how UX research can help:

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User-Centered Testing for AI Systems

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AI-powered experiences must be tested with real users to identify potential ethical issues:

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• Longitudinal Studies – Track how AI influences user behavior and autonomy over time.
• Diverse Testing Scenarios – Test AI under various conditions to identify edge cases where ethical issues might emerge.
• Multi-Method Approaches – Combine quantitative metrics with qualitative insights to understand the full impact of AI features.
• Ethical Impact Assessment – Develop frameworks specifically designed to evaluate the ethical dimensions of AI experiences.

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Inclusive Research Practices

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Ensuring diverse user participation helps prevent bias and ensures AI works for everyone:

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• Representation in Research Panels – Include participants from various demographic groups, ability levels, and socioeconomic backgrounds.
• Contextual Research – Study how AI interfaces perform in real-world environments, not just controlled settings.
• Cultural Sensitivity – Test AI across different cultural contexts to identify potential misalignments.
• Intersectional Analysis – Consider how various aspects of identity might interact to create unique challenges for certain users.

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Transparency in AI Decision-Making

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UX teams should investigate how users perceive AI-driven recommendations:

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• Mental Model Testing – Do users understand how and why AI is making certain recommendations?
• Disclosure Design – Develop and test effective ways to communicate how AI is using data and making decisions.
• Trust Research – Investigate what factors influence user trust in AI systems and how this affects experience.
• Control Mechanisms – Design and test interfaces that give users appropriate control over AI behavior.

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The Path Forward: Responsible Innovation

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As AI becomes more sophisticated and pervasive in UX design, the ethical stakes will only increase. However, this doesn't mean we should abandon AI-powered innovations. Instead, we need to embrace responsible innovation that considers ethical implications from the start rather than as an afterthought.

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AI should enhance human decision-making, not replace it. Through continuous UX research focused not just on usability but on broader human impact, we can ensure AI-driven experiences remain ethical, inclusive, user-friendly, and truly beneficial.

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The most successful AI implementations will be those that augment human capabilities while respecting human autonomy, providing assistance without creating dependency, offering personalization without compromising privacy, and enhancing experiences without reinforcing biases.

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A Product Owner's Responsibility: Leading the Charge for Ethical AI

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As UX professionals, we have both the opportunity and responsibility to shape how AI is integrated into the products people use daily. This requires us to:

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• Advocate for ethical considerations in product requirements and design processes
• Develop new research methods specifically designed to evaluate AI ethics
• Collaborate across disciplines with data scientists, ethicists, and domain experts
• Educate stakeholders about the importance of ethical AI design
• Amplify diverse perspectives in all stages of AI development

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By embracing these responsibilities, we can help ensure that AI serves as a force for positive change in user experience enhancing human capabilities while respecting human values, autonomy, and diversity.

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The future of AI in UX isn't just about what's technologically possible; it's about what's ethically responsible. Through thoughtful research, inclusive design practices, and a commitment to human-centered values, we can navigate this complex landscape and create AI experiences that truly benefit everyone.

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AI is transforming how businesses approach product development. From AI-powered chatbots and recommendation engines to predictive analytics and generative models, AI-first products are reshaping user interactions with technology, which in turn impacts every phase of the product development lifecycle.

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Whether you're skeptical about AI or enthusiastic about its potential, the fundamental truth about product development in an AI-driven future remains unchanged: a product is only as good as its user experience.

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No matter how powerful the underlying AI, if users don't trust it, can't understand it, or struggle to use it, the product will fail. Good UX isn't simply an add-on for AI-first products, it's a fundamental requirement.

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Why UX Is More Critical Than Ever

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Unlike traditional software, where users typically follow structured, planned workflows, AI-first products introduce dynamic, unpredictable experiences. This creates several unique UX challenges:

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• Users struggle to understand AI's decisions – Why did the AI generate this particular response? Can they trust it?
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• AI doesn't always get it right – How does the product handle mistakes, errors, or bias?
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• Users expect AI to "just work" like magic – If interactions feel confusing, people will abandon the product.
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AI only succeeds when it's intuitive, accessible, and easy-to-use: the fundamental components of good user experience. That's why product teams need to embed strong UX research and design into AI development, right from the start.

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Key UX Focus Areas for AI-First Products

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To Trust Your AI, Users Need to Understand It

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AI can feel like a black box, users often don't know how it works or why it's making certain decisions or recommendations. If people don't understand or trust your AI, they simply won't use it. The user experiences you need to build for an AI-first product must be grounded in transparency.

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What does a transparent experience look like?

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• Show users why AI makes certain decisions (e.g., "Recommended for you because…")
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• Allow users to adjust AI settings to customize their experience
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• Enable users to provide feedback when AI gets something wrong—and offer ways to correct it
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A strong example: Spotify's AI recommendations explain why a song was suggested, helping users understand the reasoning behind specific song recommendations.

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AI Should Augment Human Expertise Not Replace It

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AI often goes hand-in-hand with automation, but this approach ignores one of AI's biggest limitations: incorporating human nuance and intuition into recommendations or answers. While AI products strive to feel seamless and automated, users need clarity on what's happening when AI makes mistakes.

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How can you address this? Design for AI-Human Collaboration:

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• Guide users on the best ways to interact with and extract value from your AI
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• Provide the ability to refine results so users feel in control of the end output
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• Offer a hybrid approach: allow users to combine AI-driven automation with manual/human inputs
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Consider Google's Gemini AI, which lets users edit generated responses rather than forcing them to accept AI's output as final, a thoughtful approach to human-AI collaboration.

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Validate and Test AI UX Early and Often

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Because AI-first products offer dynamic experiences that can behave unpredictably, traditional usability testing isn't sufficient. Product teams need to test AI interactions across multiple real-world scenarios before launch to ensure their product functions properly.

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Run UX Research to Validate AI Models Throughout Development:

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• Implement First Click Testing to verify users understand where to interact with AI
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• Use Tree Testing to refine chatbot flows and decision trees
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• Conduct longitudinal studies to observe how users interact with AI over time
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One notable example: A leading tech company used Optimal to test their new AI product with 2,400 global participants, helping them refine navigation and conversion points, ultimately leading to improved engagement and retention.

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The Future of AI Products Relies on UX

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The bottom line is that AI isn't replacing UX, it's making good UX even more essential. The more sophisticated the product, the more product teams need to invest in regular research, transparency, and usability testing to ensure they're building products people genuinely value and enjoy using.

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Want to improve your AI product's UX? Start testing with Optimal today.

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